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27 Oct 2009
The Indian rupee erased intraday gains to ease on Monday

 

USDINR                                                                CMP: 46.50

 

The Indian rupee erased intraday gains to ease on Monday, as weaker equities raised concerns whether this year's robust capital inflows could be sustained and traders awaited the central bank's rate decision on Tuesday. The partially convertible rupee ended at 46.645/655 per dollar, off the day's peak of 46.47, and about 0.3 percent below Friday's close of 46.50/51. Last Thursday, the rupee had dropped to as low as 46.82, it’s lowest since Oct. 7th 2009.

 

 Recommendation

 

Buy in the range of 46.70-46.60 stop loss below 46.30 Target 47.10-47.30

 

USDJPY                                                               CMP: 92.10

 

The US dollar and Japanese yen made headway against many of the majors, as risk aversion triggered sharp declines in US equities. Indeed, the DJIA and S&P 500 started the day on a strong note, only to reverse from their intraday highs and close down over 1 percent. On the other hand, the Dallas Fed’s manufacturing activity index edged up to a 2-year high of -3.3 in October from -6.4, as producers have benefited from the rising foreign demand spurred by the weak US dollar.

 

Recommendation

 

Sell in the range of 92.40-92.50 stop loss above 92.80 Target 91.60-91.30

 

EURUSD                                                             CMP: 1.4880

 

The euro saw notable declines against other majors on Monday in New York as global stocks fell, reducing risk appeal. A disappointing German consumer confidence report also contributed to the weakness. Germany's consumer confidence index for November deteriorated to 4 from 4.2 points in October, a monthly survey conducted by the GfK Group showed today. The consumer climate has recorded a decline for the first time since September 2008, the research group said. Economists were expecting the index to rise to 4.5 for November.

 

Recommendation

 

Sell in the range of 1.4930-1.4940 stop loss above 1.5000 Target 1.4850-1.4810

 

GBPUSD                                                            CMP: 1.6320

 

Sterling hit a one-week low against the dollar and the euro on Monday after a surprise contraction in UK economic growth dashed recent optimism the country is recovering. Last Friday's data prompted investors to acknowledge it is too early for the Bank of England to remove its stimulus for the economy, and that quantitative easing may be extended as soon as next month

 

Recommendation

 

Sell in the range of 1.6350-1.6370 stop loss above 1.6450 Target 1.6260-1.6200

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