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26 Oct 2009
The Indian rupee, which fell over the week after showing a net rise for six straight weeks

 

USDINR                                                                CMP: 46.50

 

The Indian rupee, which fell over the week after showing a net rise for six straight weeks, snapped a two-day fall to strengthen on Friday as a rise in local share prices raised expectations of more capital inflows.  The partially convertible rupee ended at 46.50/51 per dollar, off an intraday high of 46.40, and about 0.5 percent stronger than its close of 46.735/745 on Thursday, when it had dropped as low as 46.82, its lowest since Oct. 7.

 

Recommendation

 

Sell in the range of 46.80-46.90 stop loss above 47.10 Target 46.00-45.80

 

USDJPY                                                               CMP: 91.70

 

The dollar added to gains against the yen on Friday after a survey showed sales of existing U.S. homes last month to a two-year high, providing evidence the housing market is on the mend. The yen was already under pressure as the spread between 10-year U.S. and Japanese government bond yields widened on Friday, making U.S. bonds more appealing to Japanese investors.

 

Recommendation

 

Sell in the range of 92.10-92.20 stop loss above 92.50 Target 91.40-91.00

 

EURUSD                                                             CMP: 1.5040

 

The euro slipped and benchmark euro zone government bonds rose on Friday after a snapshot of German business morale showed an increase in optimism but not quite as much as markets had expected. The euro slipped around 20 ticks to $1.5005 and The Ifo business climate index rose in October to 91.9 but economists had expected a reading of 92.0, and the market chatter shortly before the release was for an even higher number

 

Recommendation

 

Sell in the range of 1.5070-1.5080 stop loss above 1.5150 Target 1.4950-1.4910

 

GBPUSD                                                            CMP: 1.6280

 

Sterling rose broadly on Friday, hitting a six-week high against the dollar as investors awaited data expected to show the UK economy returned to growth in the third quarter. Gross domestic product is forecast to have grown 0.2 percent over the period after a 0.6 percent fall between April and June. That would reduce the year-on-year rate of decline to 4.6 percent from the 5.5 percent drop in the second quarter of 2009, which was Britain's sharpest annual economic contraction since quarterly records began in 1955.

 

Recommendation

 

Sell in the range of 1.6320-1.6330 stop loss above 1.6450 Target 1.6210-1.6150

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