Sunday, April 13, 2008
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Equity News Letter
Apr 10 2008 9:31AM
Morning Notes - Reliance Money Research Team

MARKET VIEW:

As mentioned in our previous update, we finally saw built up in stocks of POWER sector paying off, as most of them made a strong comeback. While, BANKEX did remain at forefront of the rally, strong retracement in BSE Capital Goods sector needs to be observed carefully. Another sector, which did catch our eyes yesterday, was BSE Reality that lost almost 1.59%. All the seven top-weighted stock in BSE Reality sector showed declines and closed lower.

What we are currently missing is "volume". Smart investors are not concerned about falling or ranged market but are more concerned about falling volumes. Markets have already started narrowing their trading range. If observed carefully, few weeks back it was levels of 5000-5050 on NIFTY that used to witness strong profit booking, later it was 4880-4900 and now its 4750-4770 range. While on downside levels of 4500, which attracted value buying has now changed it position to 4628-4630 levels. Going deeply in stock specific activity that occurred in past two months, like one in Orchid Chemical, it was only stock changing hands. Occurrence of such events in future especially under lowly traded market can take investors as well as traders by surprise.

All in all, though mid-term trend does remain ranged for market going ahead. If Nifty fails to maintain that levels of 4450 on downside in any case, long-term as well as mid-term outlook will completely turn in favor of BEARS. As for today''s trade we once again see market witnessing ranged activity between 4680 and 4750-4770 levels. Any sustainable move above 4770 levels will be positive for our market and we may probably move to 4830-4850 range. Traders are advised not to keep too many open positions at a time, as volumes in cash segments have just dried off.

SECTOR INDICES

BSE BANKEX (8192.26):

For the day we are covering BSE BANKEX index. Yesterday we saw this index at forefront of the rally as most of the stocks in this index made a smart comeback. Going forward this index has strong support around levels of 7600-7700 on downside. While on higher side we see this index facing heavy resistance first at 8900 and then at 9270-9300 levels. In this sector we see strong hurdle on upside for PNB at Rs.532/-, Kotak Bank at Rs.700-710/-, IOB at Rs.137/-. While stocks like Bank Of India and Federal Bank seems to be chased by informed investors.

 

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News letter and Research Reports
   

Apr 12 2008 2:49PM
Weekly Technicals - Reliance Money Research Team
A breakout from current trading range of 4450-5100 will give clear direction to NIFTY.

Apr 11 2008 9:28AM
Morning Notes - Reliance Money Research Team
BSE reality took strong hit ending lower by 1.05% in yesterday''s trade

Apr 11 2008 8:35AM
Daily Technicals
International cues may cause positive open, but the market lacks conviction in itself.

Apr 10 2008 8:31AM
Daily Technicals
Prudence suggests a gradual & partial exposure, with low/nil leverage, backed by rational stock-selection.

Apr 9 2008 9:23AM
Morning Notes - Reliance Money Research Team
Some stock specific "BUYING" activity was also observed in POWER Sector

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