By Blaise Robinson
PARIS, Jan 11 (Reuters) - European stocks fell to their
lowest since December 2006 by midday on Friday, tracking a drop
in U.S. futures on renewed worries over the troubled subprime
mortgage market, with consumer product shares hurt by brokerage
downgrades.
Unilever <ULVR.L> sank 5 percent after Morgan Stanley cut
its recommendation to "underweight". France's L'Oreal <OREP.PA>,
the world's largest cosmetics group, tumbled 4.8 percent after
Deutsche Bank lowered its rating to "sell", citing mounting
pressure on margins from rising commodity prices and risks of a
slowdown in consumer spending.
At 1255 GMT, the FTSEurofirst 300 <.FTEU3> index of top
European shares was down 0.5 percent to 1,429.15, after falling
to as low as 1,420.90 -- retreating for the sixth time in eight
sessions.
After posting a thin 1.6 percent gain in 2007, its worst
annual performance since 2002, the index has already lost 5.1
percent in 2008, hammered by mounting worries over the prospect
of a U.S. recession.
"The market is in the process of pricing in a U.S.
recession, turning into bear mode, with more forecast downgrades
looming," said Jean-Luc Buchalet, strategist at FactSet in
Paris.
"Defensive stocks have been showing some resilience, such as
telecoms and pharmaceuticals, while all the other sectors are
just sinking," he said.
"If the U.S. economy tips into a recession, Europe's growth
will clearly suffer and unemployment will rise. But equities
were not overvalued at the beginning of this retreat, so stocks
might continue to fall, but not as sharply as they would in a
full-blown recession."
The DJ Stoxx European food and beverage index <.SX3P> was
down nearly 4 percent on Friday, with Danone <DANO.PA> losing
3.6 percent, Pernod Ricard <PERP.PA> shedding 4.5 percent and
Nestle <NESN.VX> falling 4 percent.
Cadbury Schweppes <CBRY.L> fell 4.5 percent on market talk
that the confectionery and beverage group would issue a profit
warning, according to traders. Cadbury Schweppes had no
immediately comment.
"The European beverages sector trades at a 45 percent
forward P/E premium to the market, which we believe is justified
by the defensive nature of the sector. However we would not
expect sector earnings to remain unscathed from the slowdown in
mature market consumer spend," JPMorgan said in a note.
"We think consensus estimates may be too high and see scope
for some sector multiple contraction should equity markets
recover in 2008. We think emerging markets, along with
restructuring and continuing M&A, can support double digit
earnings growth but believe risks are skewed to the downside."
Heineken <HEIN.AS> was down 4.3 percent. Its chief executive
refused to rule out a higher bid by the Dutch brewer with
Carlsberg <CARLb.CO> for Britain's Scottish & Newcastle
<SCTN.L>. Carlsberg was down 2.2 percent and Scottish &
Newcastle was up 1.7 percent.
MORE CREDIT JITTERS
Reports of bigger-than-expected subprime-related losses at
Merrill Lynch <MER.N>, suggesting the credit crisis that has hit
equity markets worldwide since July was far from over, also
added to the gloomy sentiment on Friday.
Citing people who had been briefed on Merrill's plans, the
New York Times said the investment bank is expected to suffer
$15 billion in losses stemming from soured mortgage investments.
The report about Merrill came on the heels of a profit
warning from American Express Co <AXP.N>, the second U.S. credit
card company to slash its profit outlook this week.
European banks were mixed, with HSBC <HSBA.L> down 0.7
percent, and Deutsche Bank <DBKGn.DE> up 0.4 percent.
"Looking forward, we will still see some stocks
outperforming, particularly the ones with a big exposure to
emerging markets, as well as U.S. companies benefiting from a
low dollar, but that will be about 20 percent of the market,
while the remaining 80 percent will languish," Buchalet said.
Around Europe, Germany's DAX index <.GDAXI> was up 0.2
percent, UK's FTSE 100 index <.FTSE> down 0.5 percent and
France's CAC 40 <.FCHI> down 0.5 percent.
French industrial power and transport equipment maker Alstom
<ALSO.PA> rose nearly 6 percent following an upgrade from
Goldman Sachs to "neutral" from "sell" and on hopes the firm
could seal a large train contract in Italy.
(Editing by Paul Bolding)
(([email protected] ; +33 1 4949 5269, Reuters
Messaging: [email protected]))
Keywords: MARKETS EUROPE STOCKS
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For rolling updates on what is moving European shares
please click on [STXNEWS/EU]
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For pan-Europeanmarket data and news, click on codes in
brackets:
European Equities speed guide...................<EUR/EQUITY>
FTSEurofirst 300 index..............................<.FTEU3>
DJ STOXX index......................................<.STOXX>
Top 10 STOXX sectors...........................<.PGL.STOXXS>
Top 10 EUROSTOXX sectors......................<.PGL.STOXXES>
Top 10 Eurofirst 300 sectors...................<.PGL.FTEU3S>
Top 25 European pct gainers.......................<.PG.PEUR>
Top 25 European pct losers........................<.PL.PEUR>
Main stock markets:
Dow Jones...............<.DJI> Wall Street report .....[.N]
Nikkei 225.............<.N225> Tokyo report............[.T]
FTSE 100...............<.FTSE> London report...........[.L]
Xetra DAX.............<.GDAXI> Frankfurt market stories[.F]
CAC-40.................<.FCHI> Paris market stories...[.PA]
World Indices......................................<0#.INDEX>
Reuters survey of world bourse outlook..........<EQUITYPOLL1>
Western European IPO diary...........................[WEU/IPO]
European Asset Allocation.........................[EUR/ASSET]
Reuters News at a Glance: Equities...............[TOP/EQE]
Main currency report:...............................[FRX/]
Keywords: MARKETS EUROPE STOCKS/ =2