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IPO News
Nov 8 2007 1:48PM
Dubai Port profit to rise 27 pct a year - arranger

By James Cordahi

DUBAI, Nov 8 (Reuters) - DP World, the Dubai container-port handler looking to raise up to $4.32 billion in a record Middle East IPO, should post annual profit-growth averaging 27 percent through 2011 as it taps global trade flows, an arranging bank said.

Profit is expected to rise 55 percent next year to $564 million, $630 million in 2009 and as much as $923 million in 2011, said Dubai-based Shuaa Capital, one of the four banks arranging the Middle East's biggest initial public offering.

DP World "will record sustained growth in revenue over our forecast period, driven by regular capacity additions, continued high and even increasing utilisation of most of the operator's portfolio, and a strong price environment in terms of port tariffs," Shuaa said in the report.

DP World's capacity will almost double by 2011 to 81 million containers per year as it expands in Dubai, Britain, Romania and Turkey, Shuaa said.

The company's IPO, which closes on Nov. 20, will value it as much as $21.6 billion.

Container throughput in the Middle East, where DP World is the largest operator, should grow an average 9.6 percent per year for the next five years, Shuaa said, citing London-based Drewry Shipping Consultants.

Middle East economies, especially in the Gulf, are expanding as oil prices surge to records approaching $100 per barrel, almost five times as much as six years ago.

Dubai's Jebel Ali port is DP World's biggest operation, followed by China's Qingdao and India's Nhava-Sheva.

DP World is offering as many as 3.32 billion shares at between $1 and $1.30 per each in a bookbuilding exercise.

Depending on the price at which they are sold, DP World shares will be valued at between 50 and 63 times expected 2007 earnings, and 20 and 25 times expected 2011 earnings, according to Shuaa.

Shuaa's outlook compares with one from another of the arranging banks that forecasts profit rising at an average 38 percent per year in the three years to the end of 2009. [IDnL07814187]

Deutsche Bank, Merrill Lynch & Co and Dubai Islamic Bank are the three other lenders helping arrange the IPO that began on Sunday. (Editing by Andrew Callus)

(([email protected]; +971 50 458 4941; Reuters Messaging [email protected]; email: [email protected] and [email protected]))

Keywords: DPWORLD FORECAST/

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