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Tuesday, December 18, 2007
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General Market Live News
Dec 17 2007 10:36PM
GLOBAL MARKETS-Inflation, weak shopping data weigh on US stocks

(Updates with U.S. markets, changes dateline; previous LONDON)

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK, Dec 17 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks fell on Monday as rising inflation and weak holiday shopping over the weekend weighed on the outlook for economic growth and profits, while bonds rose as investors sought the safety of U.S. Treasuries.

A New York state manufacturing index fell to a seven-month low and diversified manufacturer Illinois Tool Works <ITW.N> cut its fourth-quarter earnings estimate, adding to worries of a U.S. economic slowdown.

The dollar rose against the euro amid speculation the Federal Reserve would be less aggressive cutting interest rates after last week's U.S. inflation data, and oil prices fell. A firmer dollar and comments from Algeria's oil minister that OPEC could raise output at a meeting in February cut prices.

America's Research Group, a consumer marketing firm, lowered its holiday sales growth forecast to 1.8 percent from 2 percent after disappointing sales at malls and shopping centers over the weekend.

In a sign that rising food and agricultural commodity prices may fuel inflation globally, U.S. wheat futures surged more than 3 percent and surpassed $10 a bushel for the first time.

"There's a lot of negative potential out there," said Frank Lesh, futures analyst and broker at FuturePath Trading LLC in Chicago. "You have to look at all this stuff and figure how bad is it going to be, in terms of GDP and earnings."

Benchmark U.S. stock indexes were down. The Dow Jones industrial average <.DJI> was down 86.08 points, or 0.65 percent, at 13,253.77. The Standard & Poor's 500 Index <.SPX> was down 9.89 points, or 0.67 percent, at 1,458.06. The Nasdaq Composite Index <.IXIC> was down 32.44 points, or 1.23 percent, at 2,603.30.

In Europe, shares extended losses, with the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index <.FTEU3> down 1.6 percent at 1,492.7.

In Asia, Japanese and Hong Kong stocks fell for the fourth straight session.

A sharp pullback in New York manufacturing and weaker stock futures enhanced the allure of government bonds, while the Fed's looming funding auctions served as reminder of a pervasive crisis in credit markets.

Investors, expecting a drawn-out process, jumped back into Treasuries despite data last week showing a surprise rise in inflation.

"The markets are extremely nervous and so is the Fed," said Gary Pollack, head of fixed-income trading at Deutsche Bank Private Banking in New York.

A stronger dollar was also supported by an unexpected surge, to $114 billion, in U.S. long-term capital inflows in October, sharply higher than September's inflows of $15.4 billion.

The dollar was flat against a basket of major trading-partner currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index <.DXY> off 0.06 percent at 77.505 from a previous session close of 77.550.

Crude oil prices slipped after Algerian Oil Minister Chakib Khelil said OPEC might increase oil output at a February meeting if the market needed more oil.

In energy and commodities trading, U.S. light sweet crude oil <CLc1> fell $1.71, or 1.87 percent, to $89.56 per barrel. Spot gold prices <XAU=> fell $1.30, or 0.16 percent, to $793.20. (Reporting by Jennifer Coogan, Pedro Nicolaci da Costa, Lucia Mutikani in New York and Jane Merriman in London; Editing by Dan Grebler) (([email protected]; +1 646 223 6019; Reuters Messaging: [email protected])) ((Multimedia versions of Reuters Top News are now available

for: * 3000 Xtra: visit

http://topnews.session.rservices.com

* BridgeStation: view story .134

For more information on Top News:

http://topnews.reuters.com)) Keywords: MARKETS GLOBAL

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