(Updates to close)
MUMBAI, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Suspected central bank
intervention blocked the Indian rupee's path after it jumped to a
9-1/2-year high on Wednesday, partially offsetting the massive
capital flows into the surging stock market, dealers said.
The partially convertible rupee <INR=IN> ended at
39.3150/3250 per dollar, after it had risen to 39.2975, its
highest since March 1998. On Tuesday, it had closed at 39.44/45.
Traders said the dollar could find some technical support around 39.18.
"There are some resistance levels for the rupee in sight, but
they're meaningless with these kind of inflows," said a senior
dealer with a foreign bank.
"Right now the only meaningful resistance is from the central
bank," added the dealer, who estimates the Reserve Bank of India
bought about $1 billion on Wednesday in a bid to temper the
rupee's ascent.
Data shows the central bank bought $38.1 billion in the first
seven months of 2007, to cap the rupee's gains.
Still, with India's benchmark share index <.BSESN> hitting
its 14th record high in 15 sessions, and closing 2 percent higher
on Wednesday, overseas investors are likely to move more funds
in, dealers said.
Foreigners have bought about $2.3 billion of equities this
month, taking their net purchases for 2007 to $15.3 billion,
which has helped the rupee rise more than 12.5 percent to be
Asia's best performing currency against the dollar this year.
Some sections of the market remained cautious, however,
citing the pace of the rupee's rise as a source of concern.
Global ratings agency Standard and Poor's said on Tuesday it
expected the rupee's rise to be capped by the central bank.
"...we expect the Reserve Bank of India to resist
appreciation beyond current levels and the rupee will end the
year at around 40.50 per dollar," Subir Gokarn, S&P's chief
economist for Asia Pacific, said in a statement.
((Reporting by C.J. Kurrien, editing by Ranjit Gangadharan;
Reuters Messaging: [email protected],
91-22-6636 9037))
Keywords: MARKETS INDIA RUPEE