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(Adds quote, closing price)
By Kennix Chim and Rita Chang
HONG KONG, March 13 (Reuters) - Shares in China Railway
Construction Corp <1186.HK>, which built the world's highest
railroad, rose 12 percent on their Hong Kong debut on Thursday,
in line with lowered expectations, after the firm raised a
combined $5.4 billion in a Hong Kong and Shanghai IPO.
The uninspiring debut amid a broader Hong Kong market <.HSI>
that fell 4.8 percent is expected to curb enthusiasm for other
upcoming issues, with one broker saying the shares would have had
to have closed up by about 20 percent to reassure investors.
The IPO is the world's largest this year and the most popular
ever among Hong Kong's retail investors, despite a shaky market
that has seen more than $23 billion in global IPO plans postponed
or withdrawn in 2008, according to Thomson Financial.
"If it can't close near HK$13, most of the big-cap IPOs like
Pacific Insurance can forget about raising money in the first
half. It's a key indicator," said Steve Cheng, associate director
at Shenyin Wanguo.
China Pacific Insurance <601601.SS> on Monday delayed a
planned $4 billion Hong Kong share sale due to the weak market,
but two other firms -- China's Evergrande Real Estate and Taiwan
snack maker Want Want China Holdings -- are raising $2.1 billion
and $1.4 billion, respectively, in ongoing Hong Kong IPOs.
This year's lacklustre IPO market follows two blockbuster
years for deals in Hong Kong and Shanghai.
"In any normal market, a 20 percent upside is seen as quite
healthy, but with the excesses of last year, people will view it
as a disappointment -- even though they should not," said Andrew
Clarke, a trader at Societe Generale Securities.
Shares in China Railway Construction ended at HK$12 after
reaching as high as HK$12.66 in the morning, compared with a Hong
Kong IPO price of HK$10.70, which had been at the top of an
indicated range. The debut is only the third of the year in Hong
Kong, and several deals have been delayed or scrapped.
Heavy retail oversubscription meant local investors who
applied for shares using margin financing needed to see a higher
gain in the share price in order to break even.
Investors who subscribed for 1 million shares at a 4 percent
margin interest rate would break even only if the shares rose to
HK$12.19, given that large-lot subscribers received only 0.57
percent of the shares they sought.
"The return on margin financing is not encouraging. Investors
will avoid doing so on the upcoming IPOs," said Steven Leung,
director of institutional sales at UOB-Kay Hian.
DUOPOLY BUILDERS
Investors had rushed to buy IPO shares in the company because
China Railway Construction and its duopoly rival, China Railway
Group <0390.HK><601390.SS>, are beneficiaries of Beijing's heavy
spending on a transport infrastructure that has been unable to
keep up with the country's surging economy.
China Railway Construction's <601186.SS> Shanghai shares rose
a weaker-than-expected 28 percent in their debut on Monday, from
an IPO price of 9.08 yuan. The stock ended at 11.99 yuan on
Thursday, 32 percent above its IPO price.
The company, builder of the Qinghai-Tibet railway, the
world's highest, raised more than $3 billion in mainland China's
11th-biggest IPO.
It raised $2.3 billion from its Hong Kong offering,
generating orders worth $68.6 billion from retail investors alone
to rank as the most popular IPO among individuals in the city.
Its closing price in Hong Kong valued the firm at 32 times
forecast 2008 earnings, close to China Railway Group's 32.7
times, and higher than the 28.8 times PE for top ports builder
China Communications Construction Group <1800.HK>.
South Korea's Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co Ltd
<047040.KS> trades at 13 times projected 2008 earnings, while
Gammon India <GAMM.BO> trades at 24.7 times forecast profit.
Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index <.HSI> has dropped
about 20 percent so far this year, after jumping 39 percent last
year, amid global financial turmoil.
China CITIC Securities <600030.SS> sponsored both the
Shanghai and Hong Kong portions of the offering, while Citigroup
<C.N> and Macquarie Bank <MQG.AX> handled the Hong Kong IPO.
China, aiming to ease bottlenecks caused by its surging
economy, earmarked more than 5 billion yuan for transport
infrastructure spending in its 2006-10 five-year plan, including
1.25 trillion yuan for railways, or four times the amount under
the previous five-year plan.
The fragility of China's transport links was exposed by
snowstorms earlier this year that crippled the movement of people
and goods in large parts of the country.
While China Railway Construction's IPO is on track to be the
world's largest since Spanish green energy firm Iberdrola
Renovables <IBR.MC> raised $6.5 billion in December, it would be
surpassed by the potential $18.8 billion share sale planned by
U.S.-based Visa Inc, the world's largest credit card network.
(US$1=HK$7.8=7.0951)
(Reporting by Kennix Chim and Rita Chang; Editing by Anne Marie
Roantree & Ian Geoghegan)
(([email protected]; +852 2843 6313; Reuters Messaging:
[email protected]))
Keywords: CHINARAILWAY IPO/
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Keywords: CHINARAILWAY IPO/