(Recasts with details, analyst quotes)
By Baker Li
TAIPEI, March 24 (Reuters) - Taiwan markets rallied on
Monday, the first trading day after the opposition scored a
resounding win in the presidential election, as investors hoped
for better trade ties and less political tension with China.
Taiwan's main TAIEX <.TWII> soared 6.15 percent at the open
-- its biggest one-day percentage gain in more than seven years
-- before easing back to a gain of 4.22 percent, or 359.67
points, at 8,884.66 as of 0152 GMT.
The Taiwan dollar <TWD=TP> also jumped to a 10-year high of
T$30.258 against the U.S. dollar, and is now up nearly 7 percent
so far this year.
Some analysts predicted the stock market would punch through
the 9,000 point mark after the victory by Nationalist Party (KMT)
candidate Ma Ying-jeou, who favours closer trade ties and
political dialogue with China, which considers self-ruled Taiwan
its own territory.
But many added that the current euphoria should be relatively
short-lived.
"This passion rally should only last for around two days,"
said Alex Huang, vice president of Mega Securities.
"Since Ma won't take the post until May, investors could
start to pull back as the U.S. economy is still weak, oil prices
are still high and the Taiwan dollar's rise will hurt some major
exporters," said Huang, who expects the TAIEX market to trade
between 8,650-9,200 points this week.
Despite turmoil in global markets, the TAIEX had risen
slightly so far this year before the Monday rally on optimism
over the election, even as the Dow Jones <.DJI> industrial
average in the United States has fallen 6.8 percent.
All sectors rose on Monday, with top carrier China Airlines
<2610.TW>, top financial holding company Cathay Financial
<2882.TW>, and tourism <.THOI>, construction <.TCOI> and
China-related shares leading the market to its highest level in
nearly five months.
All of those sectors could benefit from closer ties with
China, which has already received some $100 billion in Taiwan
investment in the last 20 years and is the favourite
manufacturing destination for Taiwanese firms.
In the longer term, more funds will flow into Taiwan as the
KMT's dominance in the parliament and cabinet will make it easier
for the government to push through its economic agenda after
years of stalemate in a once-divided legislature.
JPMorgan said in a note that foreign investors had remitted a
net $11.8 billion into Taiwan in the year through March 7 and had
bought a net $2.5 billion worth of equities in Taiwan companies,
with the possibility for another $5.7 billion to enter the market
later.
(For a table of foreign trading in Taiwan stocks,
double-click on [ID:nTP170358])
Foreign fund inflows could keep supporting the local dollar.
"Today's trading volume was huge and that's because of
(demand for Taiwan dollars from) exporters and foreign funds,"
said one dealer at a foreign bank in Taiepi.
But the dealer said the market will be closely watching to
see whether Taiwan's central bank will intervene to slow the
Taiwan dollar's rise at around T$30.200-T$30.250.
(Reporting by Baker Li, Sheena Lee and Rachel Lee; Editing by
Doug Young and Ken Wills)
(([email protected]; +886 2 2508-0815; Reuters messaging:
[email protected]))
ASIA-PACIFIC STOCK MARKETS:
Pan-Asia......[STXNEWS/AS] Japan........[.T] S.Korea....[.KS]
S.E. Asia............[.SO] Hong Kong...[.HK] Taiwan.....[.TW]
Australia/NZ.........[.AX] India.......[.BO] China......[.SS]
OTHER MARKETS:
Wall Street...........[.N] Gold.........[GOL/] Currency..[FRX/]
Eurostocks...........[.EU] Oil...........[O/R] JP bonds...[JP/]
ADR Report..........[ADR/] LME metals..[MET/L] US bonds...[US/]
Stocks News US...[STXNEWS/US] Stocks News Europe...[STXNEWS/EU]
DIARIES & DATA:
IPO diary & data <TW/IPOMENU> Asia earnings diary [ASIA/EQTY]
U.S. earnings diary [RESF/US] European diary [WEU/EQTY]
Taiwan diary [TW/DIARY] Wall Street Week Ahead [.N/O]
Eurostocks Week Ahead [.EU/O] World forecasts <EQUITYPOLL1>
TOP NEWS:
For top Asian company news, double click on: [nTOPEQA]
U.S. company news [TOP/EQU] European company news [TOP/EQE]
Forex news [TOP/FRX] Global Economy news [TOP/MACRO]
Technology news [TOP/TECH] Telecoms news [TOP/TELCO]
Media news [TOP/MEDIA] Banking news [TOP/FIN]
Politics/General news [TOP/G] Asia Macro data <ASIATODAY>
A multimedia version of Reuters Top News is available at:
http://topnews.session.rservices.com
LIVE PRICES & DATA:
World Stocks <0#.INDEX> Currency rates <EFX=> <NFX=>
Dow Jones/NASDAQ <.DJI> <.IXIC> Nikkei <.N225>
FTSE 100 <.FTSE> Debt <0#USBMK=> <EURIBOR>
Taiwan dollar <TWD=TP> LME price overview <RING=>
TAIWAN MARKET:
Taiwan equity mkt <TW/MENU> TAIEX <.TWII><.TV.TW>
Other indices <0#.INX.TW> TAISDAQ <.TWOII><.TV.TWO>
TAIMEX Taiwan index futures <0#TX:> MSCI Taiwan index <.MSTW>
SIMEX Taiwan index futures <0#STW:> FTSE TW50 index <.FTSETW50>
Keywords: MARKETS TAIWAN