Feb 28--Phillip Securities (Thailand) PCL
Distributor - Bisnews AFE
Market Outlook: Correction likely before rally resumes
Some profit taking on regional bourses seems to set a bearish tone for
the market, while local market-moving factors are largely unchanged and
political uncertainty remains, but no any potential spillover effect is seen.
In a big-picture sense, we expect Thai shares to remain range-bound sideways
today and correction is likely, awaiting fresh positive market-moving news to
move the market higher. Next week, the market would turn attention to the
economic stimulus package due to be presented to the cabinet on Mar 4. We
believe this factor should help underpin the market to a certain extent. Under
this circumstance, we continue to recommend 'Trading BUY' with earnings and
dividend play still in focus.
Resistance: 840-846 Support: 824-820
Factors affecting the market:
+ US stocks ended up 9.36 points on Wednesday. Earlier in the
morning session, the broader market rose on news that US regulators allowed
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to invest more in the mortgage market, but a rally
fizzled, as investor concern grew over rising loan defaults and seizures.
+ Japanese investment in Thailand has jumped 14.5% YoY, as this
year's economic outlook paints a brighter picture than last year on clearer
political direction, according to Kasikorn Research Center.
- NYMEX crude oil futures fell US$1.24 after a report showed a
rise in crude and gasoline inventories.
0 The Bank of Thailand held its policy rate steady at 3.25% at its
yesterday's meeting, as the central bank was confident about continued
economic growth prospects for this year, including a pickup in consumption and
investment, despite concerns over accelerating inflation.
0 Thailand's finance minister has speeded up efforts to set up a
committee to develop the Thai capital market and boost market capitalization
to 140% of GDP in line with its regional peers. On the other hand, the
Commerce Ministry held talks with trade representatives and revised its 2008
exports growth target upward to 15% from 10-12.5%.
NOTE:
(+) Positive (-) Negative (0) May or May not affect SET
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The information contained herein is based on sources which Phillip Securities
(Thailand) believes reliable.We do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.Opinions and estimates expressed herein are subject to change without notice.
This report is for information only and should not be construed as an offer
or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities referred to herein.
We accept no liability for any loss, direct or indirect, from the use of this
document. The directors and/or employees of Phillip Securities and or its
associates may have an interest in the securities mentioned herein.--End--