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Tuesday, November 06, 2007
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Forex News
Nov 5 2007 6:56PM
UPDATE 2-India rupee bound to rise on strong growth-finmin

(Recasts with rupee outlook, adds finmin quotes)

By Anurag Joshi

MUMBAI, Nov 5 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee could appreciate more because of strong economic growth and exporters need to become more competitive in the global market, the finance minister said on Monday.

The comment pushed the rupee <INR=IN> towards its strongest level in nearly a decade, but the rise was halted by suspected central bank intervention, dealers said.

"With the economy growing at an average rate of 8.6 percent, the rupee is bound to strengthen," Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram told a gathering of members of the ruling Congress Party.

"One must learn to become competitive, learn to cut costs and learn to innovate," he added.

The rupee, which has risen about 12.6 percent this year on robust capital inflows, ended steady at 39.31/32 per dollar with the central bank actively buying dollars after it rose to 39.22 immediately after Chidambaram's comments, dealers said.

"One must learn to trade in the environment, where the rupee will strengthen. What is causing concern is the rapid appreciation of the rupee," Chidambaram said.

Exports were still growing 18 percent, which was no mean achievement, he said.

"Merely because the profits are down does not mean we should present an alarmist picture," he said. "We have given support and it will be completely wrong for exporters to boost bottomlines by retrenching jobs."

Chidambaram said India's income per person was expected to rise to $1,000 at current exchange rates by the end of the fiscal year in March 2008 on the back of 9 percent economic growth.

Per capita income stood at $797 in 2006/07, data from the central bank's Web site: www.rbi.org.in showed, nearly double from $460 in 2000/01.

In 2006/07, India's economy expanded 9.4 percent -- one of the fastest growth rates in the world. The growth has averaged 8.6 percent in the past four years.

"Per capital will double every nine years. By 2016/17, per capita will be $2,000 if we grow at 9 percent and in another nine years, by 2025, per capita would be $4,000 and that will make us a middle-income country," Chidambaram said.

He said the government would devise ways to utilise its rising foreign exchange reserves to improve infrastructure.

India estimates it needs $475 billion between 2007 and 2012 to upgrade its roads, expand and modernise its ports, improve rail services and boost power generation.

India's foreign exchange reserves rose to $262 billion at end-October placing it among the top five in Asia. ((Editing by Ranjit Gangadharan and Gerrard Raven; Reuters Messaging: [email protected]; Tel: +91-22 6636-9038))

Keywords: INDIA FINMIN/

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