A Reliance Capital Company
Company Search
Wednesday, February 14, 2007
In a market that's growing at 400% per annum.
We offer
  • Lowest cost of trading
  • Trade till 11:30 in the night


Jan 30 2007 10:26AM
30th Jan 2007 Spices Report

RED CHILLIES
FUNDAMENTALS  
Red chillies market in Guntur remained steady to firm. Arrivals were reported to be steady. Traders attributed improved demand as the major reason behind the firmness in chilli prices. Fresh crop arrivals started getting momentum. Arrivals are likely to pick up further in the coming month. Talks of prospective export demand have to some extent helped to check the downtrend. Chilli export from the country has increased by 44 percent to Rs. 440 crore during April-Dec 2006. However, in quantity terms it has declined by 3 percent. Acreage under chilli this year is estimated to have doubled. With a bumper harvest outlook, prices are likely to remain bearish in near future.
TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Export up 44% during Apr-Dec 2006 Bulls
2.
Talks of lower Chinese crops Bulls
3.
Good crop expected on higher acreage Bears
4.
Some fresh crop arrivals in the market Bears


SPOT MARKET PRICES: (Rs/qtl)
Grade
Centre
29.01.07
27.01.07
Change
LCA 334 (loose)
Guntur
5700-6300
Closed
-
LCA 334
(Bilty)
Guntur
6300-6900
Closed
-
 
TECHNICALS
Candlesticks pattern indicates steady to firm opening and initial uptrend. Volume as well as open interest has increased. Prices closed above the 9-day as well as 18-day EMA. Stochastic is moving indecisively in the normal region. MACD is moving slightly upwards in the positive territory. Red chillies futures are likely to trade upwards following a steady to firm opening with possibility of some downward movements later in the session.
 
WEATHER
Mainly dry weather over the chilli growing regions. Weather conditions are favourable for the crop at present.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
NCDEX-Mar
Buy
4475-4500
4550
4575
4425
4240
4350
4500
4650
4760






BLACK PEPPER
FUNDAMENTALS  
Black pepper markets extended previous advances further. It was quoted higher by Rs. 300 per quintal amidst arrivals as well as offtake of 20 Mt. Traders reported improvement in domestic demand. Overseas enquiries are also reported and traders are optimistic of prospective export demand given the lower price of Indian pepper at the global markets. India has exported pepper worth Rs. 203 crore during April-Dec 2006. With global pepper production estimated to decline by 15-20 per cent and 3.46 per cent growth in global consumption, prices are likely to head skywards in the global market in near future. Domestic scenario could well match the global trend given the estimated decline in the production this year.
TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Low stocks with competitors; lower global production Bulls
2.
IPC estimates Vietnamese crop lower and expects only by March Bulls
3.
Overseas enquiries; prospective export demand Bulls
4.
Lack of buying support in the physical market Bears


SPOT MARKET PRICES: (Rs/qtl)
Grade
Centre
29.01.07
27.01.07
Change
Garbled
Kochi
12400
12100
+300
Ungarbled
Kochi
11800
11500
+300
 
TECHNICALS
Candlesticks pattern indicates firm opening and initial uptrend. Stochastic are moving upwards in the overbought region, hinting further uptrend. MACD is also moving upwards in the positive territory. Prices closed well above the 9-day as well as 18-day EMA, hinting firm prices in short-term. Volume has increased, while open interest has declined. Black pepper futures are likely to trade upwards following a firm opening with possibility of late downward movements.
 
WEATHER
Mainly dry weather over the pepper-growing regions. Present weather conditions are favourable for the pepper crop at this time.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
NCDEX-Feb BUY 12825-12850 12925 12975 12750 12070 12450 12834 13370 13775






JEERA (CUMIN)
FUNDAMENTALS  
Jeera markets remain firm at the start of the week. It was quoted higher amidst improved offtake. Fresh crop arrivals are increasing in the market, though the quantity of the same is still negligible. Production of jeera is expected at the lower side owing to reduced acreage under the crop this year. Fresh crop arrivals are likely to pick up during the mid of next month onwards that would eventually help to determine the actual size of the crop. Meanwhile, jeera exports have increased by 199 percent to 22000 tonnes and by 194 percent to Rs. 166 crore during Apr-Dec 2006. Jeera prices are expected to remain bullish in the near future supported by its strong fundamentals.
TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Likely lower production in Gujarat Bulls
2.
Cumin export has increased by 199 percent in quantity terms during April-Dec 2006 Bulls
3.
Comfortable stock position in market Bears
4.
Fresh crop arrivals in small quantity Bears


SPOT MARKET PRICES: (Rs/qtl)
Grade
Centre
29.01.07
27.01.07
Change
FAQ New
Unjha
1750-1800
1725-1775
+25
Ganesh
Unjha
1800-1850
1775-1825
+25
Machine-cleaned
Unjha
1900-2025
1875-2000
+25
 
TECHNICALS
Candlestick pattern is indicating steady to firm opening and initial downtrend. The %K-line is about to make a bullish crossover with the %D-line in normal region. MACD is moving slightly upwards in the positive territory. Prices closed above 9-day as well as 18-day EMA. Volume has increased, while open interest has declined. Jeera futures are likely to trade upwards following a steady to firm opening with possibility of some early downward movements.
 
WEATHER
Mainly dry weather is likely over the jeera producing region. Climate is suitable for the crop at this stage.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
NCDEX-Feb
Buy
9300-9325
9375
9400
9250
9180
9245
9345.2
9440
9500







TURMERIC
FUNDAMENTALS  
Turmeric markets witnessed stable trend on Monday. Prices were quoted in previous range amidst mostly steady arrivals as well as offtake. Arrivals have started from the fresh harvest, though the quality of the same is reported to be inferior one and quantity is also not enough to make any significant impact on prices. Fresh crop arrivals are expected to get momentum in the coming days that would further pressurise the prices. Turmeric markets are likely to remain bearish on a better crop harvest outlook for the season.
TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Higher crop harvest likely in this season Bears
2.
Fresh crop arrivals reported in Nizamabad Bears
3.
Moderate demand from North India Bulls 


SPOT MARKET PRICES: (Rs/qtl)
Grade
Centre
29.01.07
27.01.07
Change
Finger
Nizamabad
1925-1950
1925-1950
-
Gattha
Nizamabad
1925-1950
1925-1950
-
Finger
Erode
2100-2200
Closed
-
Gattha
Erode
2000-2100
Closed
-
 
TECHNICALS
Candlesticks pattern indicates steady to weak opening and initial downtrend. Stochastic are moving downwards in the normal region, indicating further downtrend. MACD is also moving downwards in the positive territory. Prices closed below the 9-day as well as 18-day EMA. Volume as well as open interest has declined. Turmeric futures are likely to trade downwards following a steady to weak opening with possibility of some upward movement later in the session.
 
WEATHER
Isolated rains are likely over coastal Tamil Nadu. Mainly dry weather over rest of the region. Prevailing weather conditions are favourable for the crop at this time.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
NCDEX-April
Sell
2025
2005
1995
2040
1960
1990
2021
2045
2075
 
DISCLAIMER
This report is prepared exclusively for Reliance Commodities by Indian Rural Market Products Pvt Ltd (IRMPL). The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. IRMPL does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. Use of data and information contained in this report is at your own risk. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any commodities. IRMPL and its affiliates and/or their officers, directors and employees may have positions in any commodities mentioned in this document (or in any related investment) and may from time to time add to or dispose of any such commodities (or investment).


Reliance Disclaimer


Back
 
 
News
 
Research
 
Markets
 
Knowledge Center
 
Charting
 
Customer Service
 
Contact Us
 
Site Map
 

SEBI | BSE | NSE
Terms & Conditions | Disclaimer | Online Privacy | Trouble Logging in
Copyright© 2006. All rights Reserved. Reliance Money Limited
Equities: Trading through Reliance Securities Limited | NSE SEBI Registration Number Capital Market :- INB 231234833 | BSE SEBI
Registration Number Capital Market :- INB 011234839 | NSE SEBI Registration Number Derivatives :- INF 231234833 Commodities : Trading through Reliance Commodities Limited | MCX member code: 29030 | NCDEX member code: NCDEX-CO-05-00647|
NMCE member code: CL0120 Mutual Funds : Reliance Securities Limited | AMFI ARN No.29889
In case of any grievances please write to [email protected]