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Bullion Report
Jan 27 2007 9:24AM
27th Jan 2007 Bullion Report

GOLD
FUNDAMENTALS  
Gold retreated lower from a five-month high as softer energy costs reduced metals appeal as a hedge against inflation. Also, the recovery in US dollar against euro, yen pressured gold prices. Slowing demand from India has also affected gold prices. In London spot market gold was offered $2 lower at $644.3 per ounce.

Gold Fields settled months of speculation about its capital needs with the announcement of plans to raise $1.2bn through a private placement of shares with institutions.

According to statistics, sales of DSF 2007 gold coupons till date are 387,487 compared to 291,000 in 2005.

Comex gold warehouse stocks were unchanged at 7,463,524 ounces.

TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Gold falls on receding oil prices, firm dollar. Bears
2.
Gold Fields approaches Institutions $1.2bn. Bears
3.
DSF boosts gold coupon sales. Bulls 
4.
Comex warehouse stocks unchanged. Bears


EVENT WATCH: (Monday)
World Economic Forum (WEF), Davos
US Q4 housing vacancies and homeownership, Chicago Fed Midwest manufacturing index
 
TECHNICALS
Gold is hisitating at higher levels as seen from long shadows of the candlestick. Prices closed well above EMAs, which suggests bullish trend is intact. MACD supports the medium term uptrend. However, overbought levels of stochastic warrants some caution on the part of bulls. Prices might see some correction.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
MCX-Feb
Sell
< 9265
9220
9200
9290
9155
9192
9266
9290
9337





SILVER
FUNDAMENTALS  
Silver prices eased a bit perfectly in tune with declining gold prices. The metal is also witnessing liquidation pressure after peaking on Tuesday. In London spot market silver was offered at $13.29 per troy ounce, down 2 cents.

Soft tone in the copper futures in New York and on LME would continue to apply check on silvers movement.

Comex warehouse stock rose 597,554 ounces to 114,757,944 ounces.

TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Silver comes under selling pressure. Bears
2.
Soft tone in the copper futures Bears
3.
Comex warehouse stocks up 597,554 ounces. Bears


EVENT WATCH:
Events covered under gold section
 
TECHNICALS
Silver is also showing tentativeness at higher levels, however close above EMAs shows uptrend is intact. Stochastic are positive in overbought region, which warrants some caution on the part of bulls. MACD is continuing its rising trend in negative territory, which indicates decreasing bearish momentum.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
MCX-Mar
Sell
< 19875
19725
19685
19950
19473
19331
19875
20000
20155
 
DISCLAIMER
This report is prepared exclusively for Reliance Commodities by Indian Rural Market Products Pvt Ltd (IRMPL). The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. IRMPL does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. Use of data and information contained in this report is at your own risk. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any commodities. IRMPL and its affiliates and/or their officers, directors and employees may have positions in any commodities mentioned in this document (or in any related investment) and may from time to time add to or dispose of any such commodities (or investment).


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