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Bullion Report
Feb 3 2007 9:31AM
3rd Feb 2007 Bullion Report

GOLD
FUNDAMENTALS  
Gold futures retreated lower after coming in striking distance of $660 mark, which is also a strong resistance level. London spot market experience strong correction and was offered more than $10 lower at $647.00 per troy ounce.

Meanwhile, weaker-than-expected payroll data from the Labor Department triggered a fall in the US dollar.

The People's Bank of China (PBOC), China's central bank, governor Zhou Xiaochuan said that China has concrete plans to diversify its forex reserves and gold is definitely one of the candidates for the bank.

Comex warehouse stocks rose 32,150 ounces to 7,491,315 ounces.

TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Gold drops as trader took to profit taking. Bears
2.
US dollar falls against leading currencies. Bulls 
3.
China to diversify forex reserves. Bulls 
4.
Comex warehouse stocks up 32,150 ounces. Bears


EVENT WATCH: (Monday)
Taiwan Jan CPI, end-Jan forex reserves
US, EU open skies talks scheduled for this week
US Jan ISM Services
 
TECHNICALS
Gold charts are giving mixed signals. The prices closed below 9-days EMA, but managed to stay above 18-days EMA, which indicate medium term trend is stil bullish. Rising MACD in positive zone indicate increasing bullish momentum. However, stochastic is negative in neutral region. Prices are likely to see some volatility.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
MCX-Feb
Buy
> 9172
9210
9230
9152
9122
9157
9189
9238
9271





SILVER
FUNDAMENTALS  
Silver prices retreated lower as bullion complex melted on profit taking. In London spot market silver was offered 36 cents lower at $13.35 per troy ounce. Comex March silver eased 36 cents to $13.36 an ounce as traders decided to take profit.

Base metal prices faded lower as traders and speculators stayed away from the market. While inventory worries is seen dragging down copper, there is no sign of pick in the Chinese demand.

Comex warehouse stocks fell 34,164 ounces to 113,935,516 ounces.

TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Silver retreats as bullion complex turns lower. Bears
2.
Soft trend in the base metal prices. Bears
3.
Comex warehouse stocks down 34,164 ounces. Bulls


EVENT WATCH:
Events covered under gold section
 
TECHNICALS
Silver charts are also giving mixed signals. The prices managed to stay above 18-days EMA, which indicate medium term trend is still bullish. Rising MACD in positive zone indicate increasing bullish momentum. However, stochastic is negative in neutral region. Prices are likely to see some volatility.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
MCX-Mar
Buy
> 19565
19645
--
1525
19336
19451
19596
19777
19883
 
DISCLAIMER
This report is prepared exclusively for Reliance Commodities by Indian Rural Market Products Pvt Ltd (IRMPL). The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. IRMPL does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. Use of data and information contained in this report is at your own risk. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any commodities. IRMPL and its affiliates and/or their officers, directors and employees may have positions in any commodities mentioned in this document (or in any related investment) and may from time to time add to or dispose of any such commodities (or investment).


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