A Reliance Capital Company
Company Search
Tuesday, February 13, 2007
In a market that's growing at 400% per annum.
We offer
  • Lowest cost of trading
  • Trade till 11:30 in the night


Jan 27 2007 10:11AM
27th Jan 2007 Oil Seeds Report

REFINED SOY OIL
FUNDAMENTALS  
Spot prices of refined soy oil declined across physical markets amidst weak demand and improved influx from stockists in anticipation for cheaper availability imported oils (palm oil and sunflower oil) into country in the days to come following Government’s recent decision to reduce import duty. Market ignored strengthening BMD. Weakness at CBOT aided bearishness. Hyderabad witnessed range bound prices on balance demand/supply while in Rajkot, less interest for soy oil as compared to other edible oils like groundnut and cotton oil resulted in unchanged prices. Crude soy oil CIF prices declined significantly and quoted at $693/tonne to previous $702/tonne for February shipment on Thursday.
TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Spill-over impact of reduction in imported edible oil duties Bears
2.
Bearish CBOT soy complex Bears
3.
Sluggish physical demand Bears


SPOT MARKET PRICES: (Rs/qtl)
Grade
Center
25.01.07
24.01.07
Change
Refined
Mumbai
448
451
-3
Refined
Indore
430
434
-4
Refined
Kota
437
441
-1
Refined
Rajkot
453
NA
-
 
TECHNICALS
Refined soy oil futures recovered from yesterday but charts show continued weak trend. The prices closed below 9-days and 18-days EMA, which suggests downtrend is intact. MACD is heading downwards in negative region, which indicate increase in bullish momentum. Stochastics however are also negative in oversold region and came closer to mark bullish crossover. Volume increased but open interest declined.
 
WEATHER
Mainly dry weather in major growing areas would facilitate bean arrivals in coming days.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
NCDEX-Feb
Sell
457
455
454
459
450
453
457.65
465
468
SOYABEANS
FUNDAMENTALS  
Overnight weakness at CBOT had some impact on soybeans prices across domestic markets despite firm palm prices on the BMD. Reduction in imported oil duty cast its shadow on soybean prices. Since import duties have only been reduced for the palm oil and sunflower oil complex, soy oil prices will have to edge lower to remain competitive with palm and sunflower oils. Any weakness in oil prices will naturally have a sobering effect on soybean prices Overall arrivals declined by 30-40,000 bags on account of stockists holding back at lower levels. Solvent extractors reduce their offtake amidst low parity for soy oil.
TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Continuing crushing to meet soymeal export commitments Bulls
2.
Overall bearish vegoil complex Bears
3.
Weak arrivals Bulls


SPOT MARKET PRICES: (Rs/qtl)
Centers
Market
24.01.07
23.01.07
Change
Indore
Plant
1420-1430
1425-1440
-5
Indore
Mandi
1370-1400
1370-1410
0
Maharashtra
Plant
1440-1445
1470-1475
-30
Maharashtra
Mandi
1400-1430
1400-1420
0
 
TECHNICALS
Soybean recovered smartly on Thursday to close above EMAs, which indicate firmness in the market. Candlesticks have formed a piercing line pattern, which shows the possibility of reversal in the trend. However, stochastic and MACD are still favoring bears. The prices might see some more positive movements.
 
WEATHER
Weather is reported to be clear to facilitate arrivals.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
NCDEX-Feb
Buy
1425
1440
1445
1417
1407
1414
1430
1445
1452
MUSTARD SEEDS
FUNDAMENTALS  
Nafed once again revised lower mustard seed selling prices. The new rates for Kota regions were 1670/qtl against previous prices of Rs. 1695/qtl [for seeds stocked during 2005-06]. Overall arrivals declined significantly by 1,500-2,000 bags with regular offtake from millers. Mustard oil prices continues to trade on weaker side and on Thursday touched its lowest level in Kota in last two months adding to bearish impact. Traders are expecting the rise in temperatures is likely to affect the oil content of new crop mustard seeds. The NCDEX February contract closed at Rs 368/20 Kg, Rs 0.2 higher than previous closing levels.
TUG-OF-WAR: Bulls vs. Bears
No.
Pressure Point
Favours
1.
Weak arrivals Bulls
2.
Nafed reduced mustard seeds prices Bears


SPOT MARKET PRICES: (Rs/qtl)
Markets
Grade
25.01.07
24.01.07
Change
Jaipur
Conditioned
1825
1840-1835
-15
Alwar
Conditioned
1750
1770
-20
Delhi
Conditioned
1910-1915
1910-1915
0
 
TECHNICALS
Mustard is showing continued downtrend, however the prices saw some tentativeness at lower levels today. The prices closed below 9-days and 18-days EMA, which suggests weakness is intact. MACD is in favor of bears in the negative zone. Stochastics are also negative in neutral region. The prices are mostly likely to ease after some initial firmness.
 
WEATHER
Mainly dry weather over north western India with likely western disturbance in the coming days.
   
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
 
Contract
Call
Entry
T1
T2
SL
S2
S1
PCP
R1
R2
NCDEX-Feb
Sell
370
366
--
372
361
463
368
372
375
DISCLAIMER
This report is prepared exclusively for Reliance Commodities by Indian Rural Market Products Pvt Ltd (IRMPL). The information and opinions contained in the document have been compiled from sources believed to be reliable. IRMPL does not warrant its accuracy, completeness and correctness. Use of data and information contained in this report is at your own risk. This document is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any commodities. IRMPL and its affiliates and/or their officers, directors and employees may have positions in any commodities mentioned in this document (or in any related investment) and may from time to time add to or dispose of any such commodities (or investment).


Reliance Disclaimer

Back
 
 
News
 
Research
 
Markets
 
Knowledge Center
 
Charting
 
Customer Service
 
Contact Us
 
Site Map
 

SEBI | BSE | NSE
Terms & Conditions | Disclaimer | Online Privacy | Trouble Logging in
Copyright© 2006. All rights Reserved. Reliance Money Limited
Equities: Trading through Reliance Securities Limited | NSE SEBI Registration Number Capital Market :- INB 231234833 | BSE SEBI
Registration Number Capital Market :- INB 011234839 | NSE SEBI Registration Number Derivatives :- INF 231234833 Commodities : Trading through Reliance Commodities Limited | MCX member code: 29030 | NCDEX member code: NCDEX-CO-05-00647|
NMCE member code: CL0120 Mutual Funds : Reliance Securities Limited | AMFI ARN No.29889
In case of any grievances please write to [email protected]